Every football & betting term, explained simply.

A statistical measure of the quality of a goal-scoring chance.

The probability that a given pass becomes a goal-scoring assist.

The total xG of every shot a team has conceded.

High-quality goal-scoring opportunities, typically xG ≥ 0.3.

Any pass that leads directly to a teammate taking a shot.

Shots that would enter the goal if not for goalkeeper or defender intervention.

A match in which a team or goalkeeper concedes zero goals.

A bet that both teams will score at least one goal in the match.

A bet on whether total match goals will be over or under a set line.

A handicap bet that eliminates the draw and balances mismatched teams.

A bet on two of the three possible match outcomes (1X, 12, or X2).

A bet that voids if the match ends in a draw.

A bet predicting both the half-time and full-time results.

A bet on the exact final score of the match.

Bets on individual player performance — goals, shots, cards, tackles, etc.

A bet that a specific player will score at any point during the match.

A statistical model used to predict goal counts in low-scoring sports.

A bet where the model probability exceeds the bookmaker's implied probability.

The average return on a bet, calculated over an infinite number of trials.

A way of expressing betting odds that includes your stake in the return.

The bookmaker's built-in margin, expressed as a percentage above 100%.

A mathematical formula for sizing bets proportionally to your edge.

The official starting XI announced before kick-off.

A team or player's recent performance over a defined window of matches.

The tendency for extreme performance to return to the long-term average.

The statistical edge teams enjoy when playing at their home stadium.