APR FC vs Zamalek SC — Predictions, Stats & Match Analysis

Kick-off: Friday 16 October 2026, 15:00, CAF Champions League.

Match Preview

Zamalek SC enters this match looking to leverage the creative consistency of Mahmoud Bentayg and the high-volume shooting profile of Hossam Ashraf. APR FC will rely on a disciplined defensive unit that has shown a high propensity for cards, creating a tactical battle where discipline could prove just as vital as clinical finishing.

Final3rd's predicted score: APR FC 2-0 Zamalek SC.

Match Result Probabilities

• APR FC win: 45%
• Draw: 21%
• Zamalek SC win: 35%

Goals & BTTS

• Expected total goals: 2.23
• Over 2.5 goals: 44%
• Under 2.5 goals: 56%
• Both teams to score: 37%
• BTTS no: 63%

Key Factors

• Zamalek Attacking Volume — Hossam Ashraf maintains a high volume of offensive output, anchored by an impressive 55% model probability for 2+ shots in this fixture.
• APR Defensive Discipline — The APR defensive line consisting of Fitina Ombolenga, Amadou Zon, and Gilbert Byiringiro is under heavy pressure with significant booking probabilities of 34-35% each.
• Bentayg Creative Output — Mahmoud Bentayg continues to anchor the midfield with steady creative metrics, maintaining an xA/90 of 0.17 throughout the season.

Player Insights

• Hossam Ashraf (Zamalek SC) — High-Volume Shooting Threat Ashraf maintains a consistent xG/90 of 0.30 and remains the primary offensive threat for Zamalek with a 90% probability for 1+ shot.
• Juan Bezerra (Zamalek SC) — Creative Spark in Midfield Bezerra has seen a significant jump in production, with his L10 xG/90 rising 48% over his season average.
• Chico Banza (Zamalek SC) — Struggling to Convert Banza's offensive output has plummeted, with his L10 xG/90 dropping to 0.00 compared to his season average of 0.18.
• Fitina Ombolenga (APR FC) — High Risk Card Candidate As a key defensive starter, he carries a high 35% yellow card probability due to a 0.79 intensity rating and frequent fouls.

All predictions are generated by Final3rd's statistical model and AI analysis layer using team and player data, expected goals, recent form and head-to-head history. Visit Final3rd for live scores, player props and detailed match analysis.