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Live price movements from sharp, high-limit bookmakers, ranked by how far the implied probability has shifted — across match markets and player props.
No tips, no picks — just where sharp books have moved and by how much.
Every move is measured in implied probability points, not just decimal odds — so a big shift on a short price still stands out.
A late swing on a prop usually means team news. Spot confirmed starters and role changes before kickoff.
Filter by time to kickoff to separate early market shaping from the sharp, information-led moves near lineup release.
Narrow by competition, market and time window, and your hidden-league preferences are respected automatically.
Every card shows the opening and current price plus both implied percentages, so you see the full journey.
Tap any movement to open the full model page for that fixture — predictions, props and odds comparison.
Movements are sorted by implied probability shift, so the most informative moves sit at the top of the board.
Arsenal v Chelsea
Over 2.5 Goals
2.10 → 1.78
+9.4 pp
Inter v Napoli
Both Teams to Score — Yes
1.95 → 1.72
+6.8 pp
Sevilla v Betis
B. Saka — Shots on Target Over 1.5
2.30 → 1.90
+9.1 pp
Porto v Braga
Home Win
1.70 → 1.52
+6.9 pp
Four ways to read market movement as information rather than noise.
A sharp prop move an hour before kickoff is often the first sign a player is confirmed to start.
When the market drifts the same way as our model, you get independent confirmation before you commit.
Act on moves while soft books lag, instead of taking the price after it has already settled.
When the sharp price moves and nothing else does, that is where the information usually is.
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