Qarabağ FK vs Kəpəz PFK — Predictions, Stats & Match Analysis

Kick-off: Monday 24 August 2026, 13:00, Misli Premier League.

Match Preview

Qarabağ FK enters this match with a significant creative edge, led by the high-volume playmaking of Abdellah Zoubir and Jaly Mouaddib. Kəpəz PFK faces a difficult task containing these attacking threats, as they must rely on underperforming offensive output to sustain any challenge in this away fixture.

Final3rd's predicted score: Qarabağ FK 3-0 Kəpəz PFK.

Match Result Probabilities

• Qarabağ FK win: 63%
• Draw: 16%
• Kəpəz PFK win: 21%

Goals & BTTS

• Expected total goals: 3.35
• Over 2.5 goals: 57%
• Under 2.5 goals: 43%
• Both teams to score: 39%
• BTTS no: 61%

Key Factors

• Zoubir creative dominance — Abdellah Zoubir maintains a high consistency level with 3.7 key passes per 90 minutes, providing a reliable engine for the Qarabağ attack.
• Kəpəz offensive inefficiency — Player 862236 is currently underperforming his xG by 0.34, suggesting the visitors will struggle to capitalize on limited scoring chances.
• Mouaddib shooting volume — Jaly Mouaddib is averaging 3.0 shots per 90 minutes, indicating he will be a primary threat to test the Kəpəz defense throughout the match.

Player Insights

• Abdellah Zoubir (Qarabağ FK) — Elite creative engine remains constant Zoubir sustains a high-level contribution with 3.7 KP/90, serving as the primary bridge between midfield and the final third.
• Jaly Mouaddib (Qarabağ FK) — High shots, low conversion threat While Mouaddib maintains a high volume of 3.0 shots per 90, his xG/90 has dropped to 0.00 recently, indicating a lack of high-quality finishing currently.
• Player 862236 (Kəpəz PFK) — Struggling to find the net The forward continues to underperform relative to his season metrics, creating a challenge for the away side to register goals.
• Olexiy Kashchuk (Qarabağ FK) — Rising creative influence Kashchuk has seen a massive surge in xA/90 compared to his season baseline, signaling he is in top form to assist.

All predictions are generated by Final3rd's statistical model and AI analysis layer using team and player data, expected goals, recent form and head-to-head history. Visit Final3rd for live scores, player props and detailed match analysis.