Jordan vs Syria — Predictions, Stats & Match Analysis

Kick-off: Sunday 27 September 2026, 17:00, International Friendlies.

Match Preview

Jordan enters this match relying heavily on the clinical form of Ali Olwan, who represents the primary offensive threat against a Syrian side yet to solidify their starting lineup. With Jordan's midfield duo of Ehsan Haddad and Noor Al-Rawabdeh maintaining high defensive work rates, the tactical battle will center on Jordan's ability to convert their high volume of shots into sustained pressure.

Final3rd's predicted score: Jordan 2-1 Syria.

Match Result Probabilities

• Jordan win: 44%
• Draw: 24%
• Syria win: 33%

Goals & BTTS

• Expected total goals: 2.55
• Over 2.5 goals: 53%
• Under 2.5 goals: 47%
• Both teams to score: 52%
• BTTS no: 48%

Key Factors

• Ali Olwan's goal threat — Ali Olwan is in elite form, currently sporting a massive 59% anytime scorer probability with an xG of 0.89 and a strong 27% xG share.
• Midfield card risk — Both Ehsan Haddad and Noor Al-Rawabdeh carry a high 52% card probability, indicating a potential for disciplinary issues in the engine room.
• Syria lineup uncertainty — Jordan holds a distinct advantage in preparedness with a confirmed starting XI, while Syria's squad remains unsettled and lacks clear starter projections.

Player Insights

• Ali Olwan (Jordan) — xG machine right now Olwan is significantly overperforming his season xG baseline by 6.22, with his L10 xG/90 trending upward to 0.09.
• Noor Al-Rawabdeh (Jordan) — High-intensity midfield anchor While his attacking output is minimal, his defensive intensity of 0.81 and 52% card risk profile make him a crucial, if aggressive, central presence.
• Ehsan Haddad (Jordan) — Defensive workhorse and card risk Haddad maintains a consistent disciplinary profile with a 52% card probability while functioning as a key secondary creator for the squad.
• Abdallah Al-Fakhouri (Jordan) — Consistent defensive presence The goalkeeper shows a very low disciplinary gradient, but carries a notable 36% card risk given his defensive responsibilities in a 4-man setup.

All predictions are generated by Final3rd's statistical model and AI analysis layer using team and player data, expected goals, recent form and head-to-head history. Visit Final3rd for live scores, player props and detailed match analysis.