Pendikspor vs Vanspor FK — Predictions, Stats & Match Analysis

Kick-off: Tuesday 13 October 2026, 17:00, Trendyol 1.Lig.

Match Preview

Pendikspor enters this clash looking to leverage their superior attacking output against a struggling Vanspor FK side. With Rogerio Thuram and Damir Hrelja leading the charge, the home team will look to exploit an away defense that has conceded consistently throughout the season. Expect an open encounter as both sides search for offensive rhythm, with the midfield battle between Hakan Yeşil and the Vanspor creative unit likely defining the tempo.

Final3rd's predicted score: Pendikspor 2-1 Vanspor FK.

Match Result Probabilities

• Pendikspor win: 51%
• Draw: 26%
• Vanspor FK win: 23%

Goals & BTTS

• Expected total goals: 2.72
• Over 2.5 goals: 53%
• Under 2.5 goals: 47%
• Both teams to score: 53%
• BTTS no: 47%

Key Factors

• Thuram's attacking dominance — Rogerio Thuram remains the focal point of the Pendikspor attack, maintaining a high volume of shots per 90 despite recent xG fluctuations. His 29% team xG share makes him the most likely individual to break the deadlock.
• Vanspor defensive vulnerability — Vanspor FK has shown significant defensive frailties, conceding 9 goals in just 4 matches. Their inability to keep clean sheets suggests Pendikspor's attackers will find multiple high-quality opportunities.
• Hrelja's shooting volume — Damir Hrelja is contributing a strong 2.6 shots per 90, providing Pendikspor with a secondary scoring threat. His ability to test the goalkeeper regularly makes him a major tactical outlet.

Player Insights

• Rogerio Thuram (Pendikspor) — High shot volume, cooling xG While Thuram maintains 2.3 shots per 90, his L10 xG/90 has dropped to 0.00, suggesting he is relying heavily on individual effort rather than team-constructed high-value chances.
• Damir Hrelja (Pendikspor) — Active shooter lacking conversion Hrelja continues to fire with 2.6 shots per 90, but his efficiency has dipped significantly compared to his season start, indicating a need for more precise finishing.
• Tenton Yenne (Vanspor FK) — Struggling for efficiency Yenne has seen his expected goals output drop to 0.00 per 90 over the last 10 games, signaling a significant decline in his influence on the match outcome.
• Jurgen Bardhi (Vanspor FK) — Creative output stalling Bardhi is currently in a cold spell, with his xG metrics showing a full drop from his seasonal average, making him a gamble for offensive production in this fixture.

All predictions are generated by Final3rd's statistical model and AI analysis layer using team and player data, expected goals, recent form and head-to-head history. Visit Final3rd for live scores, player props and detailed match analysis.